Yep, I've read all the assessment reports. They were what led me to seeking out alternate points of view on the matter. In terms of modelling vs reality, I think there is more room-to-move in the IPSS's likely and very likely scenarios than many would care to admit.
In the context of this discussion I am frankly more concerned about the efficacy of the government's proposed solutions to those scenarios that the IPCC modelling suggests.
Australia's ETS is hobbled and vague and the final version is still unknown (assuming the Coalition do come to the party) only a few weeks away from Copenhagen.
Copenhagen is going to be all about the money, how can it not be? This is the power that exists between nations. Will these diplomats be thinking about the environment once the keynote speakers are done and the real deals begin behind closed doors?
My scepticism in not so much about climate change as the abilities and motivations of those involved in developing the solutions (treaties or globalised cap and trade of carbon) that we will have to deal with for decades to come.