ACT statistics - a dashboard
For the data fiends, the local government has built this dashboard: Microsoft Power BI
It has four parts.
Its not bad.
My area is "Molonglo" (Its a lovely area. visit some time :) )
Data sources are listed on page 4.
In more OUTSTANDINGLY BAD news....
This ...thing... keeps getting worse.
Apologies to be so spammy tonight (SWMBO is sick and in bed, so Im a tad bored!).
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/bior...06213.full.pdf
and a preview of the info:
Quote:
"In this study, we selected 95 strains of SARS-CoV-2, isolated from 11 different countries...The results obtained...indicate high severity of SARS- CoV-2 ...with inherent capability of unique mutations and the evolving viral replication strategies to adapt to human hosts."
Development of universal vaccines against the novel SARS-CoV-2 holds utmost urgency...However...the underlying severity hidden in the SARS-CoV2 genomes is required to be fully understood.
We revealed unique single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs)...within 10 viral isolates from USA. These ...[indicate] highly evolved strains of the novel SARS-CoV-2 circulating in the population of USA [more] than in other countries.
Furthermore, we found an isolate from USA...to carry frameshift mutation... Thus, we reason that the replicative machinery of the novel SARS-CoV-2 is fast evolving to evade host challenges and survival.
These mutations are needed to be considered, otherwise it will be difficult to develop effective treatment strategies.
...two proteins also...might confer selective advantage to the virus. Through the construction of SARS-CoV-2-human interactome, we further reveal multiple host proteins...which are manipulated...for mediating host immune mechanism for its survival.
In this study, we selected 95 strains of SARS-CoV-2, isolated from 11 different countries to understand the transmission patterns, evolution and pathogenesis of the virus.
The results obtained from the analyses indicate high severity of SARS- CoV-2 isolates with inherent capability of unique mutations and the evolving viral replication strategies to adapt to human hosts.
...two genes...found to...enhance the multiplication and facilitate growth of [the] virus inside the host.
Similarly, the S protein which helps in the entry of virus to the host cells...[was] found to be accelerated towards...the successful ability of enzyme to initiate the infection.
Another positive diversifying gene...protects the genetic material of virus from host immune responses...
Overall, the data represent that the growth and multiplication related genes are highly evolving.
Although the primary mode of infection is human to human transmission through close contact, which occurs via spraying of nasal droplets from the infected person, the primary site of infection and pathogenesis of SAR-CoV-2 is still not clear and under investigation.
The genomes of six isolates, specifically from USA, were found to harbour unique amino acid SNPs and showed amino acid substitutions in ORF1b protein and S-protein, while one of them also harboured a frameshift mutation. This is suggestive of the severity of the mutating viral genomes within the population of USA. These proteins are directly involved in formation of viral replication-transcription complexes (RTC).
Therefore, we argue that the novel SARS- CoV-2 has fast evolving replicative machinery and that it is urgent to consider these mutants in order to develop strategies for COVID19 treatment...these mutants...might confer selective advantage to evade host responsive mechanisms...It is predicted that major immune-pathogenicity mechanism by SARS-CoV-2 includes the host cell environment alteration by disintegration by signal transduction pathways and immunity evasion by several protection mechanisms. The mode of entry of this virus by S-proteins inside host cell is still unclear but it might be similar to SARS CoV-1 like viruses.
Lastly, we believe that COVID-19 is being transmitted from human to human, but as more data accumulate the picture will be more clear, as these virus spread beyond the imagination of scientific community.
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International Comparisons
News media routine states that Australia is not doing as well as New Zealand but a lot better than USA and UK in the battle against coronavirus but it is difficult to compare figures because od the very different population sizes of the countries.
I tried to standardise the comparisons by looking at daily new cases per million of population. All coronavirus and population figures were sourced from worldometers at 12 noon today. But some massaging was needed. First the daily new cases for Australia from raw data.
Attachment 471747
The spikes and troughs in the data are not really what one would expect. My guess is that they reflect imperfections in the clerical process of assembling the data. For example, front line medical staff may not see the statistics as a high priority and my send yesterday's data off to HQ today, or tomorrow. Some data may arrive after the stats clerk goes home. etc. So I decided to smooth the data somewhat using simple three and five day moving averages: see next post.
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Australia and New Zealand
This did surprise me. The same data for Australia and New Zealand - note that the y-axis has been rescaled.
Attachment 471761
As expected, this shows that initially New Zealnd did better than Australia at fighting the virus. Their PM moved early and decisively.
But Australia is recovering quicker than NZ. This did surprise me.
Both countries rates and performance are really quite incredible when compared elsewhere.
Well I still don't know anyone with the virus, nor do I know anyone who knows anyone with it! That's not surprising because here in Queensland only one in 20,000 people that you're likely to run into on the streets has it. And then you have to catch it from them! Pretty good odds I think. I don't wear a mask, I don't possess any hand sanitizer, and I don't have the virus. If it wasn't for the heavy handed police presence (who appear to be immune to it) I'd be out there on the streets!